Big Tech Says Superintelligent AI Is in Sight. The Average Expert Disagrees

The top leaders in AI have very lofty expectations for the future of artificial intelligence.

“By 2026 or 2027, we will have AI systems that are broadly better than almost all humans at almost all things,” Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said earlier this year at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

Elon Musk posited late last year that we will have AI systems that are more intelligent than any single human by the end of this year, and we will “100%” have an AI system…